诺贝尔奖获得者斯蒂格利茨认为美国失业率将持续两位数增长

2020年05月19日

来源:摩天娱乐国际教育服务

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诺贝尔奖获得者约瑟夫·斯蒂格利茨预测,如果政府不介入刺激经济市场,不少美国人将会面临长期失业。

斯蒂格利茨在接受彭博电视台采访时说:“摩天娱乐的劳动力市场非常疲软。” 他补充说,美国的失业率正朝着至少25%这个数字迈进。

随着一些州解除遏制封锁,重新开放经济,这一数字可能会下降。尽管如此,除非有更多和针对性更强的政府支持,否则 “摩天娱乐甚至不再会把10%-12%的失业率认知为严重的水平。” 他说到。

此外,针对美国政府把3万亿美元用于缓解冠状病毒,斯蒂格利茨认识这是一个“设计不良”的计划。他说,其他国家所用的支出更少,而避免了失业率的飙升。

斯蒂格利茨说,在未来24个月左右的时间里,摆脱冠状病毒引起的经济衰退的唯一途径就是政府的充分支持。

斯蒂格利茨说:“与病毒大流行有关的不确定性不大可能消失。”除非有很快开发出来的疫苗(他认为这个可能性很小),否则病毒爆发和破坏性家庭的不确定性意味着,在没有政府的进一步援助的情况下,需求将保持低迷。

The US is doomed to see prolonged unemployment in the double-digits without further government stimulus, according to Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz.

"We have a very weak labor market," Stiglitz told Bloomberg television in a interview, adding that the US is moving toward an unemployment rate of at least 25%.

That rate might abate naturally as some states reopen their economies following lockdowns to contain COVID-19. Still, unless there is more and better-targeted government support, "we won't be back anywhere near to what we would normally say is a terrible level of, say, 10% to 12%," he said.

In addition, Stiglitz said that the $3 trillion the US government has already spent on coronavirus relief is a "poorly designed" program. Other countries abroad have spent less and avoided the same spike in unemployment, he said.

The only way out of the coronavirus-induced economic downturn in the next 24 months or so is adequate government support, Stiglitz said.

"The uncertainty associated with the pandemic is not likely to go away," Stiglitz said. Unless there is a vaccine developed soon - which he thinks is a low possibility - the uncertainty of the outbreak and devastation to households means that demand will stay depressed without further government aid.

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